Stocks discussion No.3 - 2008
Welcome to "Stocks discussion No.3 - 2008.
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GEN: zorro recommended this great stock
when it's around 1.30. It's UP 240%
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GEN: zorro recommended this great stock
when it's around 1.30. It's UP 240%
since his call on January 27, 2008 .
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posted by scrt4u @ Saturday, March 01, 2008
149 Comments
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149 Comments:
Welcome to "Stocks discussion No.3 - 2008".
Please post your stock picks or questions.
To Peter C.
DRACO: today it's distributing. Exit.
IEC: Moving up well. Raise LPP to 1.75 or higher. Enjoy!
PS: in strong up trend. Raise LPP to 9.40 Enjoy!
SCP: set LPP at 8.50
Loxley: gapp-up alot today. If chase, stop at 2.62. Good luck.
MK: brokeout. If chase,stop tight. Goodluck.
IEC: raise LPP to 1.85 Enjoy!
scrt4u, many property shoot up tdy..need your view NOBLE, KMC?
sold BWG & decided swicth to PRO i/o GENCO tdy
ueda
Hi All
Is there any stock in SET that is of a copper producer / distributor etc.. basically company that should benefit if the copper prices go up? Can you name a few ( if there are more than one) and if you have any opinion which of those are worth the buy at current price?
Thanks
kofi
NOBLE: It seems the 74 DMA is a resistance. Tried to break the uptrend channel but failed today. Probably the major players tested the selling pressure. Its RSI keeps moving up and above 50. I think you can accumulate it with stop at 4.25.
KMC: nice chart. Price stays above 10, 25 and 75 DMA. It seems breaking out the downtrend. Buy with tight stop.
BWG: It's about 50% pullback. SKD is gold cross. RSI up. MACD blue bar is shortening. Probably will rebounce.
GENCO: falling down. Avoid it.
PRO: Wait for rebounce signal.
TFI has a stake in a startup copper smelter. I think it is burning cash and not producing anything yet - construction may even have been halted, but it may be enough for the rumour mill if TFI moves up strongly.
TFI is a buy in its own right if it breaks above recent high. It has been increasing overseas sales but this may now be affected by a stronger Baht.
TT&T: rebouncing.
guys need your view on KTC, DEMCO & EMC thx!
ueda
how about AH, want to keep some but most analyst given negative recommendation???
miu
ktc: looks good, january downtrewnd broken and rebounding from 1 year low.
demco: tricky, might be good in the long run but is now at 125 and 200 avg, will they restrict the uptrend? maybe enter with a tight stop of around 5
emc: st-double top at 5.2 suggest a fall, lt-chart looks ok with upside to 8, not sure where to enter
ah: reached the former august/september low and bounced down sharply, better stay away for now. you can try to pick some around 10.5 as the downresistance in the 5 year chart seems to be broken and a trendchange for longterm could be ahead.
if you are already holding then watch the uptrend supportline since end of january (now at 11.5) and use it as selling point if broken even during intraday.
BLISS: Fallen from a high of 1.25 last week to 0.57 today, when is a good re-entry point?? Or can we expect this freefall to continue?
Thanks
Kris
bliss: made a huge head and shoulder with the neckline a bit below 0.8 which could be a rebound limit. the down target of the h&s needs to be taken from a logaritmic chart which i don't have. jumping in right now to catch the falling knife is dangerous, better to wait for the selling pressure to ease and the volume to go down.
something more about bliss: if you draw a support line in the 1 year chart the line is now at around 0.55-0.6. any risk takers?
LHK: seems rebouncing. If enter, stop tight. Good luck.
This comment has been removed by the author.
After several jump and exit, I end up having an average of 1 for BLISS.
After receiving several punch in the fast, I hesitated to re-enter today.
:) Good luck to everyone who's entering today.
Bliss: What a crazy stock...jumped in at 0.57, good luck to all of you with this one for tomorrow...
IEC: Seems unstoppable, still good to buy or should I give it a miss?
HEMRAJ: Did it show us turning point?
Thanks,
Kris
iec: seamico recommended a buy yesterday with resistance 2.3-2.5, could be reached today. the rsi is reaching a level where a correction is likely, safer to stay out at the moment, but in the long run it could be pushed up again to 7 or so.
hemraj: reached the 75 and the more important 200 avg, looking at the 5 year chart there is a channel resistance at 1.5 so it is not much upside to be gained. one needs a tight stop to play it.
from seamico:
"BLISS has fallen from its record high of Bt1.72 a few weeks ago. The precipitous decline is obviously the same degree as the previous upswing. The negative RSI and Stochastic suggest a continual falling. However, the stock is approaching its 75-week MA line and the then Tweezers Top at Bt0.45. This will be the first challenge that may possibly hold, giving a short-term chance for speculation, targeting the Tweezers Bottom at Bt0.70 again."
Thanks Zorro,
Bliss seems yet to decide which way to go, so better to stick with property stocks for now. QH did nicely, aswell as EMC, despite Kim Eng's recommendation to sell QH today.
Is this a good time to re-enter TCC and LIVE??
Thanks,
Kris
scrt4u RS warming up again?
manage to gain a bit fr EMC & NOBLE, bought some KTC & DEMCO tdy
ueda
tcc: rose on low volume the last month and should have a correction coming up, i expect it to test the 75 avg between 3.1-3.3 before rebounding.
live: has had too much of a run, i wouldn't recommend it at all. it could crash like bliss.
rs: could be worth a try despite not having breached the 25 avg yet, especially if it trades in the green while the set should be red today.
To ueda,
RS: yes, it seems warming up. Chase it with tight stop.
DEMCO: seems moving up along the 25 DMA.
MDX: cooking. You may accumulate with stop at 3.24 Good luck.
TYM: seems rebouncing. Chase with stop at 5.0 Good luck.
AI: seems rebouncing. Enter with stop at 6.25 (use small position to try). Good luck.
TOG: seems rebouncing. Try with stop at 3.75. Good luck.
To Peter C,
DRACO: it seems 35 is a support. You may buy some with stop at 35. Good luck.
why you mentioned TOG & TYM rebouncing while they closed in red today, is it worth to buy??
miu
tym: had a good run along the 25 avg but when it broke down the rebound from the 75 avg usually can not go above the 25 avg again, so i would be careful and enter only if the 25 avg is clearly broken along with the downresistance since the end of january peak.
tog: broke down 25 and 75 avg, now close at the 125 avg but i guess it will test the 200 avg at 3.2
de: buy and use uptrend support since 4th of december as stop
d1: seems to start something, check the news on friday about warrant issue or capital increase, use tight stop.
hmm very quite tdy...
zorro, what's your view on BROCK, MBAX, MLINK?
ueda
market is not in a good mood with foreigners selling.
brock: restricted by the 75 avg and broke down the 25 avg as well, more downside at least in st to come and i even think we will see a new low. buy if it breaks the 75 avg.
mbax: shining star today but close to the 75 avg where it might retract back to have the 25 avg as support. overall a buy but choose the entry point either by buying tomorrow on the opening (unless it opens close to the 75 avg) or on a dip/correction.
mlink: nice triangle since january, drawing the lines exactly it looks like the support is broken, wait for tomorrow if it continues the downtrend. might be a good entry at the 75 avg for rebound.
bliss: in the set news from iec today it states that iec has sold 490 million shares on the 7th of march, maybe the sellign pressure is over now.
not bad for MLINK & MBAX, anyone bought it?hopefully wl continue rising!
zorro, how about others small caps SINGHA, SOLAR, MME
ueda
with the dow more than 3 % up it will be difficult to buy in today as usually the set opens high and closes low, but maybe as there was no foreign selling yesterday the stocks can continue the run.
singha: a bit of a triangle there, although at the moment still a bit weak it could take off soon and seems to be low enough to try. a tight stop of 2.18 should be very safe, if you want to risk more use 2.1 as stop.
solar: falling resistance since january needs to be broken (chase if it breaks 3 today during intraday)
mme: testing again the horizontal support at 1.9-1.95, buy with a tight stop but i think it will break it in the future. you can also use the falling resistance since july as entering signal if broken, which is nearly identical to the 75 avg.
scrt4u - I think your long awaited CSP has started it's move this morning. Hope the run continues. Please advise latest move on this. Thanks.
Umi san
csp: now above all averages, buy with a stop around 2 (area of 200 avg), mt target could be 2.3 or 2.5
According to Scrt4u, on feb 29th I bought 30,000 BBL after the break out and set my stop at 127 and this week it went to 125 so i sold it at 125 for a loss of 90,000 baht not worth your tip only to see it go up again today. Get a life!
Choice
Choice, your comments are not fair.
Scrt4u on Feb 29 (Friday, February 29, 2008 3:43:00 PM) didn't tell you to buy BBL. He said: BBL: broke out. If chase, set stop at 127
It's up to us to follow or not, Scrt4u's recommendations. At least a bit of personal researches are needed. Either you invest and when the stock goes down you accumulate or you speculate. The difference between speculation and gambling is thin...
Hi Ueda, many thanks for your MBAX, so far 10% profit now! need to hold or sell?
sam
well Sam I guess it might go up to 5baht, hold your breath & sit tight :)
btw i still keep some w/ avrg price 3.06
ueda
mbax: next resistance should be the 125 avg a bit above 4 where one might sell to buy back lower if you can be online all the time. the 200 day avg at 4.5 or the former low at 4.25 will be stronger barriers.
UMI - Time for a short play again. Good luck.
Umi san
METRO cut loss 10% tdy!!
Zorro should I hold or sell MBAX, I'm afraid my profit will gone too
sam
mbax: from seamico: sup. 3.4-3.6, res. 4.2-4.4, which is the resistance i gave previously as well.
NWR - Big volume since opening this morning. Start of another mini rally? Join the fun trip. Good luck.
Umi san
hi all
got some psl at 30... thinking of cost averaging it . now its at 24.3 do you think its at its bottom level and is a good time to buy or it will likely fall to 22 or sub 20 level .. any thoughts?
Another one is PTTAR .. have some profit but cant decide whether to sell coz on monday its gonna fall coz XD not sure if it will fall more than 2.5 (div amount). any ideas?
Thanks
kofi
To kifi,
PSL: cut loss because it broke the previous low. RSI is still above 20 and it could go below 20.
PTTAR: Hold it as it is above 25 and 75 moving average. SKD, RSI and MACD look OK. Or you can sell half of your position to lock your some of your profit so that you have more profit cousion to protect your principal.
Usually a stock fell exact the div. amount at XD. Not more.
Andreas, I beg to differ; TOP dropped 4 Baht upon XD while the dividend is less than 3 Baht.
Umi san
agreed, it usually falls a lot more like top paid 2.75 in 2 days fell more than 4 .. asimar paid 0.07 fell over 0.11, and psl paid 0.75 and has fallen over 4 in a week. :P hehe
DISTAR: Seems rebouncing. It is now above 10, 25 and 75 moving average. If chase, stop tight. Good luck.
So it is better to take profit before XD. Sell all your PTTAR today, kofi.
If next monday, it goes up, do not regret.
Distar: seems taking off.
ESTAR: Its moving average (10 days, 25 days, 75 days). Yestoday its price was above all the a.m. moving average, if you had bought it yestoday, you would have been happy today.
Sell most of your position today, leaving only a small position for the possible move-up next week.
SMC: seems rebouncing. If you like, quietly buy in with stop at 1.18. Do not disturb the MM, otherwise they will shake you out.
Im actually following your adivce and selling half my position and keeping the rest.
Thanks for the advice.
kofi.
CSP: after long-time waiting, this stock started its rally. Now its price stay above the 10, 25 and 75 days moving average line which is now showing uptrend direction. Enjoy your trip.
DE: keeps moving up. Now raise your LPP to 1.25 Enjoy!:)
MIDA: started moving, breaking the 3 major moving average(10;25;75).
AVOID METRO, otherwise you will be a dead duck!
sam: nice downres. since february, buy on breakout (mondays res.= 1.54-1.55), if 1.5 holds during intraday on monday it could be the time to enter.
stocks recommended by seamico for next week are:
BLISS, IEC, N-PARK, SYNTEC, NWR, EMC, TGCI, THL, AMC, APURE, PSAP, D1 and DE.
many of those are talked about on this blog as well.
de: recommended just a week ago at 1.08 is now near the former intraday high around 1.35 and i expect profittaking to set in soon.
DISTAR: wow, it's really taking off. It's top gainer for today. You may take some profit today. Enjoy! :)
Yes scrt4u many thanks for DISTAR & DE, I can recover some of my loss from METRO
However I still lucky loss 10% last thursday, not 20% if just sell today
sam
Incredible call on DISTAR. I would really like to know what you were looking at as there seems nothing really on the chart to indicate that it would take off that day.
It's top secret.
You need not know the secret.
According to the 50/50 math possiblity, your win = your loose.
As long as you cut loss when it is still small, it is sure that you make money on stock markets.
ASIAN: This stock is interesting. Don't say I did not tell you. Stop tight if you try. Good luck.
SMC: interesting.
Dont forget zorro mentioned about SAM, seems moving up!
sam: broke the downresistance, should do well at least for a few days
pe: went against the set but closed at the 125 avg where it found resistance twice already. a breakthrough tomorrow could be worth a chase to test the 200 avg at 1.2 and maybe in longterm it could go much higher. i bought some after lunch but might take profit if it turns out to be a failure. stop out around 1.
CPF: interesting. Don't forget set a stop. Goodluck.
DTAC: seems rebouncing. Stop at 44 Good luck.
TYM: seems brokeout the downtrend channel. If chase, stop at 4.95 Good luck.
Any thoughts on tta stuck at 49 and Tsth?
Thanks,
Adlab
To Adlab,
TTA: you should cutloss on 10 March 2008 when it broke the uptrend. Now it pulled back about 50%, hold it.
TSTH: seems rebouncing. Raise LPP to 2.10
hi zorro, long time...need your latest view on MDX, BROOK, SINGHA & SEAFCO thx!
ueda
mdx: after breaking the february support of 3.25 we saw today a bit of a rebound which might stall at 3.25, i would prefer some other stocks over mdx.
brook: finally broke the 75 avg and volume picking up, worth a try with tight stop.
singha: still lacking of direction, cheap enough to keep holding for lt but with the market in mt downtrend and the macd failing to give a buy signal i would stay away till buying interest sets in.
seafco: nice downresistance since february (or falling wedge if you draw the support line), you will see an intraday rally when broken, so keep an eye on it and jump on for a quick profit.
----------------------
ccet-w1: broke downtrend since february on good volume, warrant is cheap (near b&s value), good luck with it.
good call CCET-W1 zorro!
i bought a bit MDX & SINGHA on closing price, not sure for BROOK bcoz vol still small tdy
ueda
ccet-w1: might still have some way to go but i sold today as it reached the 25 avg which in a wider range was a resistance since october and i expect profittaking tomorrow. bought some
mida: which should test the 200 avg around 1.2 this week.
how about SPORT?
hey SPORT looked interesting! anyway I bought a bit IEC & MME
ueda
JAS: interesting. If you try, stop very tight. Good luck.
BWG: interesting. Stop at 8.0 Good luck.
N-PARK: seems double bottom. Stop tight if try. Good luck.
BBL: If it won't make new high pricde tomorrow, lock at least some of your profit. Now raise LPP to 133 or higher. Enjoy!
MME: raise LPP to 2.16 or higher. Enjoy!
KMC: interesting.
yr thoughts on
DEMCO
TIES
MBAX
thanks
tim
To tim,
DEMCO: not sure.
TIES: seems cooking, stop at 1.50 Good luck.
MBAX: seems still in consolidation. Wait!
DE: seems broken its uptrend. Take profit.
GRAMMY: nice rally recently. Raise LPP to 13 or higher. Enjoy!
MK: seems rebouncing. If chase, stop at 2.35 or higher. Good luck.
PSL: quietly climbing up. Chase with a stop along the uptrend. Good luck.
TTA: seem formed a triple-bottom. If try, set stop at 40. Good luck.
sport: from seamico today: sup. 3.1-3.3, res. 3.8-4
whats with CSP?
CSP - Time for a strong run. Every Dog has it's day. Enjoy the ride.
Also don't forget to take a look at UMI. Good luck and happy punting. Run up should not be too long though.
Umi san
CSP - target? resistance?
CSP: we told you this stock will fly. Now believe it? Raise LPP to 2.28 or higher. Target? It could be as high as 7! It's up to the senior insiders. Don't be greedy. Make a reasonable profit is OK. Enjoy!
SPORT: Forget seamico's support. Raise LPP to 3.40. Today if 3.40 breaks down, take your profit. Enjoy!
TFI: If you have this stock, raise LPP to 2.45 or higher. If this LPP breaks down today, take your profit. Enjoy!:)
TFI: The major punters are now pulling it up. You also tail-up your LPP to maximize your profit. Glue your eyes on the screen. Enjoy!
TRAF: SET is down but this stock is up. Raise LPP to 6.00 or higher. Enjoy!
JAS: Set your stop/LPP at 0.26 Good luck!
TMB: broke the maving averages (5days, 10days, 25days). seems rebouncing. Chase with tight stop. Goodluck!!!
MK: set your stop/LPP at 2.38
GRAMMY: seems losing momentum. Reducce your position.
TT&T: broke major moving averages (10days, 25days, 75days). If chase, use 75days moving average as stop. Good luck.
UMI: raise LPP to 1.05 This is Umi San's favorite. Enjoy!:)
TYM: good re-entry on 21 March 2008
----- background messege ------
TYM: seems brokeout the downtrend channel. If chase, stop at 4.95 Good luck.
Friday, March 21, 2008 2:52:00 PM
TFI: raise your LPP to 2.55 Enjoy!
TFI: take some profit today.
scrt4u: Do you think TT&T can go back to breakeven 1.58 - or NWR .75?
GEN, EMC & SPORT keep rising!!!sky is the limit!!
did you make money from them???
So what is the moving average for TT&T?
To anonymous,
TT&T: I do not think it's easy for TT&T to go up to 1.58. There are many opportunities for a stock to go up 10% but there are few opportunities for a stock to go up 100%. That is why we keep advising you to cut loss when your losss is still small.
What is the moving average for TT&T? What's the point you ask this question? Usually we use 5 days, 10 days, 25 days, 75 days, 200 days, etc... It's up to yourself.
GEN: zorro recommended this great stock when it's around 1.30. It's now UP 215%. Great call, zorro!
------- Background post ------
gen: the area of 1.3 was a resistance in oct/nov and should now be support together with the 75 avg, worth to enter with a tight stop.
Sunday, January 27, 2008 7:24:00 PM
EMC: Raise LPP to 9.10 or higher. Enjoy!
STA: Raise LPP to 13.80. Enjoy!
would like to have some opinion on NNCL and PF please, thanks
Moe
To Moe,
NNCL: After about 50% pullback, it seems preparing a rebounce. If you try, stop at 2.04
PF: It's been in en uptrend but today it failed to take out the resistance at 4.24. Reduce position or take some profit at least.
TYM: raise LPP to 5.30 or higher. Enjoy!:)
UMI: (Umi San's favorite) had a strong run today. Enjoy! :)
got some quick cash bet w/ crazy stocks EMC & GEN, thx everyone!
sam
because you said use the 75 day moving average for cut loss, how would i know what number that is you know.
thank you very much.
Any good recomendations anyone? wanna make some cash baby, pls also give some stop loss in numbers with it. thank you
you can take the moving averages out of the online charts your broker shold provide.
SAM finally take off again!
UMI - hope you guys had some fun and made profits on this round. Please keep in mind that UMI is always a play for 1 day or at most a few days only.
Umi san.
zorro/scrt4u need your view on CIG, HANA, HMPRO thx!
any thoughts of super stocks next week?just guessing it could be S2Y or NCH
ueda
hi, pls give comments on SVI-w2, LEE-w1
To ueda,
CIG: broke out the original channel. Now in a small rally. Resistance is around 5.30.
HANA: seems a small rally started. Chase with tight stop.
HMPRO: in uptrend. Resistance is around 5.25.
I guess S2Y looks better than NCH.
Good luck.
PERM: we recommended this stock. Now its price is doubled at least. You should take some profit on 28 March. Anyway, raise LPP to 1.5 Enjoy!:)
EWC: raise LPP to 7.55 or higher. Enjoy!:)
Q-CON: big trade volume on 28 March. You should take some profit. Raise LPP to 1.80. Enjoy!:)
SIMAT: seems rebouncing. stop 4.20 Good luck.
TYM: raise LPP to 5.45 Enjoy!
BLISS: is forming a flag pattern, waiting for breakout (most probably up). Stop 0.60
thx scrt4u!
with many news about rice shortage now, you might quietly try some PRG :)
ueda
svi-w2: due to the low volatility of svi the warrants b&s value is around 0.34 only. svi is trading sideways since a year, better look for more interesting opportunities.
lee-w1: a bit similar and only 1 year till expiration
good call CIG ueda!
scrt4u DISTAR made a good move, how about DE?
I heard they're the same owner right?
sam
To sam,
DE: seems still in consolidation. Not sure it will go up or not.
PERM: Raise LPP to 1.85 or higher. Enjoy!:)
DISTAR: Raise LPP to 0.65 Enjoy!:)
SMC: raise LPP to 1.30
TRU: raise LPP to 2.70
scrt4u,
your view on brook please. thx
moe
hii trading CIG tdy with 12% profit, sold & switch to MIDA at closing price, gluck!
ueda
This thread is closed. Please move to "Stocks discussion No.4 - 2008". We will go on discussing stock-related questions there.
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