Stocks Discussion No.3 - 2007
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163 Comments:
PT: Wow, this stock keeps flying. It's now up over 370% since our call on 29 Jan. 2007.
Now move your LPP to around 4.3 or higher. Enjoy :D
PE: move LPP to 3.4 or higher. Enjoy! :D
IRPC: this stock seems rebouncing. stop=5.85
SYNTEC: looks rebouncing. stop=0.95
MME: set new stop/LPP = 2.70 Good luck.
RICH: this stock broke out again. Set new stop/LPP = 2.50 Good luck.
TT&T: seems rebouncing. Set stop = 1.00. If this stop breaks, reduce position or exit. Good luck.
DE: looks interesting. Stop=0.75 Good luck.
GBX: looks interesting. Stop=1.50 Good luck.
CK: it seems there is strong support around 7.0. This is a fundamentally sound stock. Its previous low was 0.62. If it won't break 0.62, I think you can accumulate this stock, bit by bit so that you can have a relative low cost.
PT: move LPP to around 5. Enjoy :D
zorro, I will accompany my friends several days and will be back 7 March. Please take care of our fans here, thanks.
Seems Win breakout .
Can you confirm Scrt4u ?
Thanks
Newman
i am having a lot of problems with my internet connection. hope it will be sorted out soon, otherwise i can not give any advise.
win: from phillip sec.:Medium-term trend is weak.Good support is 1.00 and resistance is 1.50.No medium-term buy signal exists yet.As for short-term,trading buy is advised. Resistance 1.20-1.25;support 1.08-1.06;stoploss 1.05.
i would say that there is still a downtrend line since october which runs same with the 75 day avg, now at 1.20, as well as a 1 year downtrend line (now at 1.15), needs to stay a couple of days above both lines to have a lt trendchange, but odds a increasing that it could happen
mme broke the 25 and had the 75 day avg as resistance, the 25 day avg should be used as stoploss (now 2.7).
NWR: looks brokeout. Stop=0.68 Good luck.
zorro your adv on AMATA, TICON, ROJANA thx!
ueda
wouldn't buy any of those now:
amata: approaching downchannel resistance in 1 year chart at 12.5, good support at 10, could be bought on weaknes or after break of the resistance, but run if 9.5-10 is broken.
ticon: longterm charts don't look good, support at 16-16.5 might be broken.
rojana: volume peak today (big lot?), weekly chart has horizontal sup. at 10 but could be a bearish triangle. the weekly uptrend support is broken and seems to be resistance now.
SAT: Keep an eye on this stock.
EVER: looks interesting. Stop=2.50 Good luck.
scrt4u pls give me some advice on GENCO and EPCO still cooking? It looks very steady....
Ken
Forgot another one how about ASL?
Ken
GOLD: seems rebouncing. If chase, use tight stop. Good luck.
ken, my views:
ASL: broke downtrend. If chase, set stop=8
GEN: Set your stop=0.85 - 0.9
EPCO: move LPP to 0.58
Many stock markets collapsed but above stocks are quite stable. Why? Because bighands money in them.
Good luck.
Thank you for your comments but I mean "GENCO" Not "GEN".
Anyway, Thank you very much
Have a nice weekend...
GENCO: not yet break out the downtrend channel. Already small double bottoms. If 0.65 can not hold it, it may go down further.
Thank you for your advice on GENCO.
The reason why I ask you about this stock because some source told me that this stock is cooking. Cookers is collecting the stock right now. They try to cook this stock like PRO.
set: although another downwave seems to be on the hand, i expect that the energy sector will pull it down due to oil prices failing to break the 61 level, so holding on to non oil stocks could be smart.
a short term downtrend resistance could be broken today if set closes a couple of points up
mme: high upside potential, use 25 day avg as stop (now at 2.76)
nwr: rebound with limited upside to 0.75-0.80 as it stays below all averages for now. set stop at 0.6
epco: in a narrow uptrend channnel since january, use the rising support as lpp (close below 0.58 today would be a sellsignal)
csp: is in cooking mode and might go more sideways for some time, could target the 75 day avg in a sudden rally (now at 3.4) where you should take profit. should it drop below 2.3 i would rather cut loss.
KWH: seems rebouncing. If chase,set stop=1.63 Good luck.
TRUE: seems rebouncing. stop=5.25 Good luck.
Wow! KWH is a good chase. It's up about 20% with the same day. Move LPP to 2.00.
i m hunting more housing firms LALIN, KMC, NOBLE
zorro, need your view thx
ueda
lalin looks mixed: uptrend on the 1 year chart while the 3 year chart shows lower highs and lower lows. 25 day avg crossed up the 75, which is good, but the 125 and 200 day avgs are just a couple of satang away at 4.7 (failed twice to break them) and the up-channel resistance for this year is in the same area.
if you bet on a break, use 75 day avg as stop
kmc: bearish but offers a chance of bottom picking if you use 1.2 as stop, but better would be to buy if it breaks 1.3 on strong volume.
noble: st a small rebound up to 4.8 possible (25 ad 75 avg as well as gap), i would buy near the weekly uptrend line at 4-4.2 and use 4 as stop.
BLAND: seems rebouncing. Stop=0.70 or tighter.
RRC: brokeout. If chase, set stop=17.50 Good luck.
zorro TICON looked better now?still hold since 17
scrt4u ur right for GOLD, it rebound back fr 5.85 but doubt wl break previous high
bought KMC 1.25 & SMIT 2.06 tdy, just keep finger cross :)
ueda
ticon: i guess it will fail around the 75 day avg at 18 if volume doesn't increase signifintly.
Anyone has any comments on AMC?
Should I buy AMC Now?
Oh! I forgot to ask how about PREB?
KEN
amc: broke the 125 and 200 day avg today, there could be a rebound which brings it back above, in this case you can enter. now better stay away.
preb: you could buy a couple of shares now and hope that the 75 day avg around 1.85 acts as support and if it fails average down at the 25 day avg (1.73).
as there was a volume peak, the safer bet would be to wait for 1.73
Zorro, Thank you very much for you views...
TICON: it seemed brokeout yestoday, today it is strenthened the trend, but there is probably resistance around 18. If you entered yestoday, move your LPP to 17.40. My blind guess. Good luck.
PSAP: looks rebouncing. Use tight stop if you try your luck.
APURE: it looks preparing a rebounce. If you try it, set stop = 1.25 This is a very speculative stock. Be cautious and good luck.
RRC: today it stays above 17.40 for 2nd day after brokeout. Set stop at 17.40. If this support bresks, exit no questions asked. Good luck.
GOLD: if you took my advice and entered this stock on 9 March 07, you are not in about 5% profit. Move LPP to 6.35.
SMM: it seems rebouncing. If you chase, set stop = 0.8 or tighter. Good luck.
MME: moving healthily. Don't forget keep moving up your LPP. Enjoy.
CITY: it seems that chefs are cooking at the platform of 2.05. good luck.
hi
what views have you on gsteel
good entry price right now 0.91
or is it due for heavy landing?
cheers
DON
GSTEEL: I blindly guess, it seems 0.90 has some support. You may buy some and set stop=0.90. You must cut loss if 0.90 support breaks. Good luck.
Insiders hate this blog. Make full use of this blog before it is forced to be a paid member site.
got caught & cut loss KMC which pair with my TICON profit
GOLD, better wait for next break >6.85
DEMCO & TUCC are worth to watch...Is ETG building platform too?
ueda
Vow! Our call on SMM is great. Within one hour, it's up over 25%. Enjoy our fans.
TT&T: brokout. Move LPP to 1.05 or higher.
MEDIAS: finally shot up. Move LPP to 7.20 or higher.
CSP: Started moving up, but the long handle of the hammer looks distributing. Be cautious.
GOLD: as we expected accurately, it keeps moving up. Today it brokeout the res. at 6.85. Now pls move LPP to 6.85 or higher. Now it is only in Wave 2.
Enjoy the profit!!! :)
ueda, TUCC keeps moving up. Congrats on your picks. Move LPP to around 6.0
DEMCO: gapped up today. It seems that it will take out the previous res. Set LPP at 3.25.
Yes, ETG is building "cooking platform".
SYRUS: if you have this stock, Use "tight LPP". .
IEC: this stock is worth your attention now. Interesting! Good luck.
ueda, maybe you can consider re-enter KMC. I blindly guess the insider did a shakeout. Probably around 1.2 is the support.
what about seafco? scrt4u
Jiang
Jiang, SEAFCO's rally is already over. I do not expect it to take out the previous two highs. Last year we called it several times when it was only around 3.5-4. It's a double top. Wait until it is reset to very low for another rally.
TRUE: interesting. Stop=5.25-5.5 Good luck.
RRC: move LPP to 17.70.
preb: reached 1.74 intraday today (i recommended to buy at 1.73), seamico says support 1.6-1.7 and resistance 1.9-2.
ticon: reached resistance of 18, time to sell but buy back if it closes above on strong volume only
tyong: could make a strong move tomorrow or monday. good for st and lt.
amc: those who can follow the stock intraday might look for some support in the 3.3-3.5 area for a st-rebound, but it might turn out to be a falling knife.
csp: uptrend support line at 2.46 and 25 day avg at 2.41 to be used as lpp.
for the set: sell if it breaks 670
--------
scrt4u: any idea when to take profit for psap? made a wrong call on 14.2. and don't want to do it again.
bought a lot at 0.94 for intraday play on recommendation from phillip techie today but decided not to sell at closing. broke 25 and 75 avg which do not seem important and volume could have peaked. i am a bit unsure what will be next.
be cautious on GOLD, there's some resistance around 7-7.2 back to last dec chart
KMC, follow zorro's advice wait for >1.3 with strong vol
who'll be next for top gainer PE,PT, S2Y, KASET..could be MME, THECO, APURE???wish I can hit them once!
ueda
mme: the 75 day avg is now approaching and then it will become interesting, as the 25 day avg is close as support.
theco: faces a horizontal resistance at 1.06-1.1, rising support line for this month is very close as well, easy to trade a breakout.
apure could make a quick run to 2, but there were news about new shares, don't know about the fundamentals.
kmc: downtrend resistance now at 1.26
To zorro :)
PSAP: If normal, it should go up to 1.10-1.15 on Friday. But the volume (15 March) was a little tricky. If it was distribution, you are advised to set LPP as high as possible. From its long-term chart, the price seems in low price area.
Anyway, glue your eyes on the screen on Friday because your profit cusion is not thick. Use intraday chart and treat every hour as treat every working day.
If tend is losing momentum, lock part of your profit at least.
Protection has priority over profit.
WHAT HAPPENED TO MPT? IS IT STILL COOKING N IS IT WORTH HOLDING ON? ALSO, ANY VIEWS ON JAS? TKS.
any advice for tt&t,perm,super,tgci ?
Thank you very much
pau
To your question:)
MPT: still worth holding. If you have gut, I suggest you to increase your position.
JAS: now is waiting to take out res. at 0.45.
----------------------------------
To pau :)
TT&T: move your LPP/stop to 1.10
PERM: Move LPP/Stop to 1.15 or higher.
SUPER: Set stop at 1.00
TGCI: Set stop=1.30
SAT: broke out. If chase, set stop=10.5 Good luck.
TISCO: in uptrend. Move LPP/stop to 23.40
pau, LOCK your profit in PERM. Congrats!!! You may leave a small postion if you like.
BSBM: wow, if you have this stock, take profit.
to scrt4u thanks for your advice.
perm was a lucky one do you think it could hold to ceiling ?
What about btc-w2 aand ever ?
pau
pau, don't be greedy. Take profit now.
pau:) you may enter EVER now with a stop at 2.34. You must cut loss if 2.34 support breaks. Don't do against the insider's shakeout. Trend is your friend.
BTC-w2: alos looks interesting. Use 0.30 as stop. Good luck.
ASL
changed its par value from 10 to 1 baht,
will this increase appeal to speculators?
Don
Don, the purpose of par split is to lower the threshold for ordinary (not rich) people to buy the stock.
UCOM: seems trying to take out res. at 42 something.
DE: brokeout. Stop=0.8 Good luck.
AMC: seems rebouncing. If trying it, stop=3.35 Good luck.
Q-CON: moving well. Move LPP/stop to 2 or higher.
SUPER: if you have this stock, move LPP to 1.2. Take profit if it can not hold above 1.20 :)
scrt4u
seems GOLD ready for another upward swing, what's u think?
i didn't buy TUCC & I think I made a wrong guessing last time
fyi i'm collecting MCOT, HMPRO, MINT tdy
and i guess punters will smash my picks after they read this blog :))
ueda
the set closed below 670, a lot of picks will be smashed this week.
keep some cash to buy on a big dip.
ueda, it's up to how many "chip" you collected. If big, punters will smash you to "death". If not big, they think you are a small fish, not worth their attention :))
I will come back to you when I access the charts.
zorro, how about your PSAP? Exited?
gold: is now above all major averages, but it is getting overbought
mcot: going sideways since 2 month, use 24.5 as stop.
hmpro: seems on an upswing
mint: at rising support in weekly chart. run if broken.
psap: took profit at 0.98 on friday morning already as it didn't continue the run. was a good decision.
To ueda:)
Agree with zorro. GOLD: move LPP to 7.4
Aha, UMI started shooting up. MOVE LPP to 1.3 or higher or take some profit. Up to yourself.
WOW! UCOM has taken out the previous resistance as we expected. Good call. If you bought yestoday, you are now in profit of over 17%. This is one day profit. Not bad.
Now move LPP to 46 or higher.
BTC: brokeout. If you chase, set stop=1.08. Use small prosition. Good luck.
SYRUS: move LPP to 3.5 or higher. Enjoy.
TGCI: if chase, stop=1.40. Good luck.
RRC: move LPP to 17.90
EPCO: warning! It seems that it will break out upward or downward after moving in a horizotal channel (channel: 0.59-0.60)
PTT: seems that it will move up a little (blind guess:)
CITY: it's warming up. Good luck.
UMI: move your LPP to 1.40 or higher. Enjoy :)
TMB: warming up. If chase, set stop=1.52 Good luck.
TMB: it's excising its muscles.
ASL
why is it been heavily traded?
any comments on its outlook
I have some interest but am concerned it may slide.
thanks
Don
Don :)
ASL was heavily smashed down in the past three days. I guess the falling speed slowed down. Wait for the price is stablized.
THL: this stock will probably rebounce. Just blind guess:) Stop=1.6 Good luck.
Gold: moving very well. Its uptrend has been strengthened.
Next resistance is around 8.50
Hold tightly and enjoy:)
Move LPP to a price you are happy with.
GOLD: we called this stock on 9 March 07. Now it's up about 25% in 7 trading days. Not bad.
ASP: keep an eye on this stock.
beware TGCI since high vol & well distributed today.
ken
KMC hit rock btm & PTTEP also still headed south, what's support level?
ueda
any comment on perm,win,zmico-w3,stpi ?
Thank you very much .
pau
pau, did you lock your profit on PERM on 16 March 07? If you did not, you have not conquer your "greedy". It's still falling.
WIN: has not yet taken out the res.
ZMICO-w3: it's been moving sideway, waiting for breakout.
STPI: Insider punters are still smashing down the price to force you to cutloss (big loss). Maybe some support at 2.80.
To ueda :)
KMC: broke support, exit and find a new entry again. Good luck.
PTTEP: cannot see where is the support.
kmc: just wait to enter until the downtrend resistance (now at 1.24) is broken, no support in sight.
pttep: wait for march downtrend to be broken or start fishing at 70. an interim support is at 80 (downchannel supports)
perm: from seamico recommended support 1.1-1.2 and resistance 1.4-1.5, althoug I would be cautious as we have seen a volume peak.
win: tested the 125 day avg today, buy and use 1.15 as stop. next resistance will be 200 avg around 1.6
zmico-w3: the mother share went from 3.2 to 4 this year while the warrant went sideways. it is still expensive (b&s value 0.5)
stpi: interim support at 2.75 but it could continue to fall back to 2
UCOM: move LPP to 48. Enjoy.
PICNI: will this company go broke? If not, don't you think 0.26 is cheap? Wait and see :)
IEC: chefs are breaking the kitchen and try to find a new place to cook again. Wait and see.
To scrt4u and zorro thank you very much for fast advice!
To scrt4u I did lock in most of my profits on the 16th and the rest on the 19th,followed your advice but i wonder if perm will have any rebound after its steep shakeout ?
pau
Big Lot PTTEP 867,000 @ 85.50
Ken
pau, it's risky to try rebounce in PERM now. Better wait and see.
Picnic book value shrinked to 27 satang and 2006 result was a loss of 68 satang. This means that by mid 2007 its equity will become negative. Scrt4u, how can you even imagine this stock can possibly escape bankruptcy ? Did ITV teach you nothing ?
scrt4u,
TMB looked charming, target 2baht?
ken
ken,
yes TMB gapped up today. My blind guess target is around 2. Good luck.
Gaudente,
As long as you stick to the principle "never put over 10% of your tatal money in one single stock", you will lose your stock life. ITV is suspended. Picnic will probably be. But if not, the opportunity is very higher. High risk, high profit. This is probably "venture investment".
TMB: we called this stock on 20 March 07. If you entered, today you are in profit of 10%.
PTTEP back on track to 90++
Yes, you are right on PTTEP. Good luck.
pttep closed at the march downresistance. tomorrow morning we will see if it breaks.
To all of you :
is it possible by doing i-trading in Thailand that someone can see or catch my orders b e f o r e they reach SET and therefore manipulate the orders or bids or offers ?
Could this be done either through my broker,internetprovider or an ordinary hacker ?
as I do regulary i-trading since more than 2 years I have sometimes that strange feeling that my orders are not handled in the way it was supposed to,just a blind guess as scrt4u use to say.
Mybe you experts out in the cyberspace could help to enlighten me.
Than you very much and have a nice weekend.
sato
sato so far i do i-trading fr overseas & seems ok, when i hit the buy/sell button then it appears less than 1sec
thai market is too small to be manipulated by big hand out there
ueda
sato, although your broker company has done its extreme to provide the saftiest security communication between your computer and their server, you still have to be very careful because there are a lot of trojans out there to try to steal your unsername and password. So I advise you:
1. update your anti-virus program regular;
2. update your anti-spy program regularly;
3. Use a good firewall to protect you from suspicious programs.
Pay close attention to your computer's performance. If you find something strange, immediately disconnect your internet and do a thorough check up by scaning virus, spay ware, trojans, etc.
Alwasy logout, delete all cookies, delete all offline internet files before get connected to the internet.
Never save your passward on your computer;
Scan your computer with anti-virus, anti-spy software daily or at least weekly;
Better use a exclusive computer to do your I-trading. It's much safer.
Better do a simple bookkeeping of your trading, regularly check your credit, statements, etc. If you find something in discrepency, call your broker for clarification or amendment before it's too late.
The phone calls between you and your broker is recorded. If something wrong, your broker will check the recording.
Hope helpful to you.
Whats your comment on BAY-W1 bought at breakout at 8? Bought PSL at 46.75 for rebound.
Want to get into AOT any chances of a big dip in that?
Thanks,
KM
------------
Answer by secrt4u:
BAY-W1: better ask zorro who is much better in warrant trading.
PSL: set stop=45 Good luck.
AOT: Not breakout yet. Seems forming a "flag pattern", waiting for breakout up or down.
sold all my GOLD w/ another +17% whattt a life :) enough with this one
bought a bit PLE & struggling w/ HMPRO -3%, others MCOT, MINT, CITY just fine
abv fr me ueda...hv a nice wkend
ueda, congrats to you! What a life you are living! notaclue, come to read ueda's post above.
I increased my MPT position yestoday at 1.85 and sold some position today at 2.05, I made 10% in one day. What a life:) Have a nice weekend!
NEP: interesting. Use tight stop if chase. Good luck.
PTTEP: warming up. Good luck.
bay-w1 is in the money. phillip securities recommends support 7.3 and resistance 9.5 and stop 7.3.
i would use the rising support line since beginning of this year as stop (now 7.8)
GOLD: move LPP to 8.0 or higher.
UCOM: move LPP to 51.00
MPT: move LPP to 1.93
RRC: move LPP to 18.50. This stock keeps going up slowly since our call on 13 March 2007.
how about TPIPL scrt4u
Jiang
SOLAR: seems warming up. Stop=3.3 Good luck.
TPIPL: seems warming up too. Stop=12. Good luck.
BFIT: looking rebouncing. Stop=5.75 Good luck.
KEST: looks interesting. Stop=15.70. Good luck.
MME: It gapped up today, moving up as we expected. Move LPP to 3.10 Enjoy! :)
RRC: keeps moving up well. It's in an uptrend channel. Enjoy! :)
any advice for bcp-w1 and bcp dr1,
vng ?
Thank you !
pau
BLISS: interesting again. Stop=3.60 Good luck.
To pau,
BCP-w1 is good to try, use tight stop.
BCP-br1, still waiting for breakout of the "flag pattern".
Better ask zorro.
VNG: not good to try.
bcp-w1: i don't follow this warrant, but looking at the ex-price (18) it seems to be a bit expensive. b&s value for a volatility of 30% (this is the important figure which i don't have, just guessing) would be 0.4, for a volatility of 50 it would be 1.6.
chart looks like a bit of upswing, so only st-trading could be recommended. 2.5 is first resistance, next could be 3
sold HMPRO -4%, still downtrend & waiting re-entry then switch to CPF & TMB
need view on DELTA, TVO plz thx
ueda
scrt4u, why recently i couldn't view this blog via my PDA..any idea coz it worked b4
ueda
ueda, it's much better to lose -4% than lose -15% or more. We should surrender when the stock price does not go up. Mr. Market can not win every time. The odd is 50/50. As long as you cut loss when it's still small. Sooner or later you will win. If you do not surrender, the result is your principal get stuck, your money lose liquidity. time is also money.
I do not know why you PDA can not access this blog.
emergency degree in Bangkok??
no wonder SET dive today, crazy Mr.S!!
delta could be worth a try but back off if it breaks 15
tvo: nothing exiting, something for lt if you use 8 as stop
bought 100,000 KMC today at 1 baht. Considering this stock did a capital increase at 1.50 baht a few months ago, I guess it is a bargain.
Also NVL is near its all time low.And it has a P/BV of 0.3
gaudente, yes, KMC looks interesting.
ITD: seems rebouncing. Stop=4.8 Goodluck.
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