Stocks Discussion No.2 - 2007
:)
SAT: Moving healthy. Since our call on 30 Jan. 2007, it's moving up. Keep moving your LPP consistantly. For example, you should move your LPP to 9.0 now (2 Feb 2007)
:)
PTL: This stock broke out its downtrend channel. It gapped up to break the previous two highs and the downtrend channel. Use 3.4 as stop or RP point.
:)
DE: move your LPP to 0.80
:)
PSAP: This stock broke out, but a little late to get in. If you chase, use small position and tight stop. Or get in after traceback.
:)
TT&T: now move your LPP to 1.0 or a little lower.
:)
PE: This stock broke out. If you chase, set tight stop. Good luck. Exit point = 0.65
:)
Please click the " # comments" to read many updates or post your questions.
Email this site to my friend >>>
posted by scrt4u @ Friday, February 02, 2007
161 Comments
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161 Comments:
Where are all the contributors to this blog-or is it my cu or what -I cannot read any comments in stock discussions #2 ?!
I cannot believe everyone is on holiday ??
sato
sato, you can not do without update?
PE: this stock is already up 73% since our call. Not bad?! Move your LPP to 1.2 or higher.
ASIA: this stock has moved up alot. If you have it, take some profit or set your new LPP at 38 or higher.
PRO: resistance seems at 1.5.
PRECHA: seems start moving up trend. Set your LPP to 2.50 This stock has been on our cooking list for long time.
SMM: looking good. If you chase set stop at 0.80
NEP: is it now looking like a "shoulder+head+shoulder" pattern? Wait and see.
JAS: move your LPP to 0.43
PTL: move LPP to 3.5 Your entry is good.
DE: move LPP to 0.82
PSAP: set your stop at 1.05
TT&T: moving healthy. Now move LPP to 1.10
SECC: seems brokeout. If chase, set stop = 2.75 Good luck.
To scrt4u suddenly for unknown reason I could see your comments -all from 6th of feb.
Thanks Sato
TT&T: move LPP to 1.20 or a little higher.
PTL: move LPP to 3.70
ASIA: move LPP to 44
BLISS: This is already up over 90% since our call on 16 Jan. 2007. Move LPP to 5 or higher.
History as below:
-----------------------------------
scrt4u said:
BLISS: seems broke out downtrend channel. If you chase, set stop at 3.50. Good luck.
Tuesday, January 16, 2007 4:08:54 PM
-----------------------------------
RCL: if you have this stock, watch it is nearing a resistance around 23.50. If nomentun is losing, reduce your position.
anonymous, they are not on holyday...they are simply broke ! and the few who managed to save something out of the disastre are obviously fleeing to another country !
Q-CON: this stock is already up over 35% since our call (zorro called it on 7 Jan. 2007). Good call. Move LPP to 2.20.
BAY: this stock was recommended by an anonymous contributor, later zorro and I support it. Now BAY is up over 20% since the call.
Good job! anybody can have a good pick and good call.
AOT: seems brokeout. If chase, set stop at 52.50. Good luck.
NWR: interesting again. Stop=0.75
IRPC: keep an eye on this stock. It is trying to break 6. if it can, chase it with 6 as support/stop.
zorro need your cooment for NOBLE, YNP, MFEC, CSL, LANNA
hope not too much for u thanks
Ken
noble: weekly chart shows uptrend support at 4, daily chart could indicate a head and shoulder (bearish). st correction likely, i would buy around 4.4-4.5 with stop 4.
ynp: you can buy with stop=5
mfec: seems to go nowhere
csl: lots of gaps in the chart, a bit strange. from the weekly chart it looks cooking and might be something for lt.
lanna: should close the gap between 12 and 12.5, but then…..?
maybe scrt4u can give a second opinion.
s this to a good time to re-enter market again??
pink
My view as follows:
NOBLE: now in wave2. Usually it is safer to enter in wave1. Big volume on 2 Feb. 2007, probably punters used some of its money to take out the previous resistance at 4.50 if it was not distributing. Anyway,set your stop=4.60.
YNP: looks better. Seems in uptrend. Stop=5.0
MFEC: seems there is some res. around 4.5 although it looks in an uptrend.
CSL: looks res. around 4.00. which is an important point.
LANNA: brokeout downtrend. Use tight stop to build your initial position and increase gradually if entry is good.
Just "blind guess". Please use your best judgement.
PTL: Move LPP to 3.75
PE: Move LPP to 1.45 or higher.
PT: seems brokeout. If chase, set stop=1.65 Good luck.
NWR: set stop=0.75
GSTEEL: Took out res. at 0.98. Move LPP to 0.98
ITD: seems brokeout. If chase, use tight stop, otherwise just watch others making money.
Foreign net buying 3.3M
As always local investor is the winner, buy low sell high :p
if baht keep getting stronger like now, i believe many exporters wl suffer & other restriction might follow soon
trader
indeed it is unbelievable that after all the insults and menaces delivered by Thai authorities to farang investors there is still anyone buying....yet, there they are , pushing the market up again (while local both retail and institutional sell).
I wonder when Thailand starts to get the retribution it really deserves...
The big lesson you have to learn is that when someones in your family got sick, cure them, don't kill them
Dalai
what if his sickness is crazyness and he kills you while you try to cure him ?
I have got beaten enough trying to heal crazy people.
Are you talking to yourself or are you talking each other? Tit-for-tat? Self-entertainment? ... !:)
PE: keeps offering profit to you. Now it's already up 240%. Very good. Move LPP to 1.68 This is another group of very good chefs.
SAICO: brokeout two previous highs. If chase, use tight stop to protect your principal. I'm afraid the exit is quite small. It's better to use small position to make some small money.
Then why bother yourself coming to this arena from time to time? In fact, you are addicted to it unconsciously
RICH: brokeout. If chase, set stop at 2.00 or as low as you can accept.
WARNING: TT&T seems losing momentum. If it can not hold above 1.20, reduce your position.
ITV: keeps cooking. Hard to believe? Wait and see.
BLISS: this stock have moved up over 100% since our call on 16 Feb. 07. Now move LPP to 5.75 or higher.
That big program trade through UBS for around USD 100m yesterday was probably the "cover" in a covered warrant type index derivative. Looks like someone took a huge short position via an option.
SMM: This stock is already up 15% since our call on 6 Feb.2007. Move LPP to 0.90 or higher.
that means the market will never die, and today anothe net buy of over 3 billion baht from foreigners, what is your explanation?
Foreinger bought more = market up
Dear scrt4u and zorro, pls need your advice for the following: spack, hamraj, bsbm and pttch.
thanks very much
BB
They are buying to lock in a partial cover on a synthetic index instrument they have sold a client which allows the client to go SHORT.
As it is through UBS it is probably the person who dealt through UBS before. Maybe he has a plan and is going short ahead of it. Somebody not caring about acting in a way that leaves a USD 100m footprint in the market which can be read by others is pretty confident of something.
This is a guess, but I don't see anybody going long USD100m in a day and if it was a large foreign fund they would have given the order to more than one broker. Kim Eng was net SELL on the same day, which supports my view. Their retail buy, big hand sell.
wuffli
since the index fell because of the B.O.T.'s 30% reserve for capital inflow and the New Year's Eve bombs, no any foreigners did sell short, they really quit with the approximate amount of 20 billion baht and not long after, it appears that foreigners are on the Net Buy side. Therefore, your guestimations that the Net Buy on these few days were to cover short is not realistic because prices of many shares are higher. I suggest you cannot resist but try to be a Net Buyer for the coming week and make profit
spack: had a volume peak on thursday after reaching nearly a 1 year high. looks like correction coming up with 2.5-2.6 as support. if it holds for several days you can enter with 2.5 as stop (uptrend line since june).
hemraj: buy with stop in the 25 day avg area (0.8-0.85)
bsbm: downresistance since august reached last thursday, better wait for a breakout (close above 1.3-1.33) and use 1.27-1.3 as stop
pttch: you can buy with stop 74 but it does not look promising for a lot of gain (87 would be time for profit taking)
New position going on. Not to cover short from BoT or bombs. What I am syggesting is that the buy represents the long part of an assymetric hedge and is to cover the premium on a put (short) option. i.e if the index goes up the gain in the long short position will offset the premium paid and lost on the short put. If the index goes down the leverage of the put will make the loss on the long stock immaterial relative to short gains.
The above explanation sounds ambiguous but in brief, it represents a new Buy (long) position expecting SET to go higher. Thai's all.
Not really, funds buying long are careful not to put the price up against themselves. They buy much more carefully.
PE: this stock gapped up again today. It's now up 285%. Move LPP to 2.00. Enjoy.
SMM: this stock moved up 25% since our call on 6 Feb. 2007. Move LPP to 0.97. Enjoy.
PT: this stock is in uptrend. If chase, use tight stop. Good luck.
SCBL: brokeout. If chase, set stop at 14.50 or higher. Good luck.
NMG-w2: this warrant looks a little tired. If you have it, reduce your position if it can not hole above 1.90. Don't be too greedy.
EPCO: Indider punter quietly keep moving it up bit by bit to keep away ST players. It's now in an uptrend.
They buy carefully today because SET is up 4 straight days, the next really will follow if SET will have the close in Red next one or two days.
IEC: brokeout. Enter with 1.13 as stop. Good luck.
PT: did you get in this stock today? Set LPP at 2.00 or higher.
PE: moving up very well. When I told you it broke out on 26 Jan. 2007, did you believe it? It's a stock driven up by local Thai capital. :)
MME warm up, TYONG looked good, restc IRPC??
Ken
GSTEEL is now at only par value, for stock that can make good profit and has equity > capital, its share price must not below par value. Therefore, it is good idea to buy at current price. Analysts say it has a price gap up to 1.08. Don't trust me
posted by CHEAP
BGH now is 38, I have sold all at 34.50
Prayud sold INOX at book value of 1.67 to POSCO while the market value was only 1.30
GSTEEL's book value is 2.34 vs market value just only 1-1.01 and it is a profitable company, no loss. Make a good choice
PT: Wow, another good stock we have chased. Did you chase it? It's up at least 10% if you got in when I called to chase it. It's in only ONE day. That's the way to turn a stock market into your ATM machine.:)
Now move LPP to 2.5 or higher.
INET: brokout. Chase with tight stop. Good luck.
THECO: seems warming up. Stop = uptrend channel lower support line. Good luck. :)
PE: It's already up 330% since our call. Too good to believe it? If you catched one of this kind of big fish, how many times could you try other breakouts opportunities with small loss stops? Do the math. For example, if you allow 10% loss with each try, you can try over 30 times. According to the math theory of "possibility", the it's 50/50. That means you have 15 time to earn bigger than 15 times to lose small.
That's the way to "blindly guess" and win. :0)
Hope helpful to you.
INET: The chase is successful. Now Move LPP accordingly.
ASIA: Move LPP to 49.75
TKT: brokeout. If chase, stop tightly.
KTECH: this stock is already up about 30% since our call on 7 Jan. 2007 (zorro suggested stop=1.10).
This is another proof that our calls are worth your attention.
To JIANG.
Look at SYNTEC. I remember that you asked my view on this stock. I offered you to enter with a stop at 0.80. If you did, now you are in profit of about 30%. Not bad!
Warning: PE is distributing. You should lock your profit today.
still hold SOLAR 3.84 but looked graph seems will fall back below 4
KH, PSAP, KTECH foresee more upward??pls comment
ueda
scrt4u your latest comment on SAT, YNP, AP plzzz
Pink
Happy Valentine :))
I bought SYNTEC AT 0.91 AND SOLD AT 1.09 tks
Jiang
psap: looking good, 1.5 resistance, might reach 2 longterm
kh: now at longterm high, not a good point to enter. if you hold set lpp to 7.6
solar: better exit if closes below 4
ktech: sell at 1.8, afterward you might reenter lower with next resistance beeing 2.5 and 3.5
sat: rebound seems to stall, better sell
ynp: still a buy with stop=5
ap: now at 75 day avg=resistance, enter if breaks 4.5 or if it finds support at 25 day avg now at 4
please give your advice for ck and ck-w1,tgci,perm
thank you
pau
ck: seems to have a fight with some avg-resistance (75, 125 and 200), will be difficult to break and the gap from december is looming.
not the best time to get in. for the warrant: it will expire soon (end of march, suspension will be in 2-3 weeks), with a gearing of only 2 you won't gain much but could lose a lot.
i think i recommended in december to buy the warrant, it would be time to sell now with a profit of nearly 40%.
tgci: strong resistance at 1.7-1.8 nearly reached today. if 1.8 is broken it could target the 200 day avg at 2.
perm: fighting with the 75 day avg now, a bit correction possible and would be a chance to buy. Support at 25 avg=1.13 is a bit downside, if you bought it, hold for longterm, if you want to buy, wait for a dip.
pau, CK and CK-w1 seem a little shaky. Set tight stops respectively. If it can not hold above your stop, Reduce Position.
TGCI: long upper hammer handle, it seems the punter lacks oxygen. set LPP/stop at 1.55.
Perm: Looks like a "shoulder+head++shoulder" pattern. 1.28 seems a support. If it breaks this important support, RP.
thank you both for your advice !
What about genco and kgi ?
pau
GENCO: finished two waves. If you try, set stop = 0.72 or higher.
KGI: if 1.6 can hold, probably it can go up to 1.7. Stop=1.6 Good luck.
KTP: wow shot up today. I think I called this stock on 6 Feb.07 when it broke out. It's 20% up.
ITD: We called to chase this stock on 8 Feb. 2007. If you did, you are now in profit of 17%. Not bad.
Warning: PT lacks oxygen. Lock at least some of your profit today.
US: this stock looks reboucing. If chase today, set stop=5 or a little higher.
PA: looks warming up.
THAI: brokout. stop=45, res=around 50.
NWR: ITD brokeout today, will NWR follow suit? Most probably. Just blind guess.
WIN: brokeout. If chase, stop tightly. Good luck.
TPIPL: it's already up over 20% since our call on 18 Jan. 2007.
ECL: brokeout. Set stop at 0.75 Good luck.
scrt4u
your comments appreciated
GSTEEL, DELTA, KK, IRPC, PTT
Jiang
To Jiang :)
GSTEEL: It's moving up quietely bit by bit, in an uptrend. Seems need some correction? Not sure.
DELTA: looks good. broke previous highs. Good volume. Enter with stop at 17.80 Good luck.
KK: If it can hold above 29, it could probably go up to 33. Good luck.
PTT: Set stop at 210. Good luck.
to: scrt4u
Tks
Jiang
sold my SOLAR 4.08 & switched to IRPC 6.25 not bad hah
also bought some GOLD 5.55 & a bit gambling with THECO 1.07 & MME 2.7
ueda
I doubt SET will break 700 today bcoz local inst still sell a lot today
Though region market looked bright, just blind guess I think SET will retreat back to 670 next wk
PT: take your profit today.
You dont know what
Bernanke confirms last night that FED will be able to cut interest rate next meetings, following this news, the B.O.T. will cut first at the meeting end of this month, however, since all real estate stocks are up quite a lot, we foresee the only sector that will benefit from interest rate cut is Banking Sector first.
Hello! I am just new comer to your blog and need to ask any comments from anyone about KTB AJ CCET and SMIT.
Thnaks
ktb: a kind of bearish wedge is developing with support 12.5 and res. 13, might go up a bit further to close the gap at 13.7
aj: a tricky one, could be a peak today, so if you enter use a tight stop (approx. 3).
ccet: bullish, if you buy use 75 day avg as stop (now 4.4)
smit: might be some weakness ahead or only small upside.
Thank you very much for your comments.
I'm probably enter "AJ" and take some risk....
To ken - agree with zorro, a few more words on CCET. This stock just broke out its previous two highs, so as long as it can hold above 4.60, you still have opportunity to make profit. Good luck.
To ueda, congrats to you on entering Gold at 5.55. It broke out. Other fans, if you chase Gold, use tight stop. Good luck.
MFEC: brokeout. If chase, use 4.5 as stop. Good luck.
IEC: its falling momentum seems blocked by LT support around 1.00. Now it's interesting, probably chefs are cooking this stock.
To all who will have Chinese New Year holiday,
Happy New Year!
Kong she Fa Choi!
Thx scrt4u
Good for GOLD but loss a bit with MME & THECO, can't expect we won everytime huhh
I reenter GOLD 5.8, hope can reach my target 6.5
Btw need zorro adv about SOLAR, what price for reenter or it wl hit all time low?
ueda
ueda, the ODD of win/lose is 50/50. As long as you cutloss small. For the long term, you win.
What is the verdict on MME? Also, though these don't seem to be going anywhere, something keeps drawing me to look at JAS, NSM, and EPCO, with the last two on cooking lists for several months.
tia
UK
solar: looks like we will see a new low. wait for signs of a double bottom around 3.2 before entering
mme: 25 day avg could be support (2.55), use as stop if you are holding.
jas and nsm: not looking interesting for the time beeing
epco: still creeping up, i would exit if 0.54 breaks
KTP: wow, this stock has moved up about 50% since our call 6 Feb.2007. Move LPP to 3.4 or higher. Enjoy :D
PTL: this stock is already up 20% since our call. Move LPP to 4.05 or higher. Enjoy :D
DE: keeps going up. Move LPP to 0.90 or higher.
RS: looking interesting. If try, set stop = 4.70 Good luck :)
MCOT: seems brokeout. If chase, stop = 26 or a little lower.
PT: now in wave no.2 and also took out the prievious highe. If chase, use tight stop. Good luck.
PE: looks like PT too.
NOBLE: it is now in an uptrend. If you try this stock. set stop at 5. Good luck.
SOLAR: looks reboucing. If enter, set stop = 3.75. Good luck.
AIT: this stock gapped up for the 2nd time. If chase, set stop=24. Good luck.
AOT: this stock is already up 21% since our call on 1 Feb. 2007. Move LPP to 62. Enjoy (:D
SAMART: this stock brokeout today. If you chase, set stop = 9.00 Good luck !!!
STPI: it gapped up with good volume. If chase, set stop = 4.15. Good luck ;)
MME - What's up DOC? Seems that scrt4u is now back on track again with this call.
Thanks scrt4u. I have been stuck with this for many many moons and now sun comes. Will we see the rain soon and followed by a rainbow? Hope to wait at the end for the legendary "pot of gold".
In simple langguage, please advise target for this round.
Thanks again.
UMI san
UMI san, if you cutloss when it was still small, how could you get stucked in a stock. Remember you only date with a stock, never marry a stock.
MME: is shooting up today. Now you believe the fundental info they purposely released to the public? If you believed, you losed the opportunity to enter on 7 Feb. 2007 at 2.62. If you bought at around 2.62, now you are in profit of 24% within about 10 trading days.
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MOVE LPP to 3.00 or higher now
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I called MME on 7 Feb. 2007:
History makes us wise. Pls read my post in the comments area under the thread of Cooking list No.2 - 2007
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MME: I do not know its fundamental. I am also not good at interpreting their financial report. But technically this stock is cooking. Hard to believe? If everybody believe, how could the insiders accumulate "cheap" shares? Wait and see. Let fact prove I am wrong.
Wednesday, February 07, 2007 2:40:15 PM
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Now you understand why fundamental info or research report are not always reliable?
KKC: going up with good volume. Dare to chase? Up to yourself. Emergency exit is not big.
ahaa I enjoyed my MME fr 2.72 tdy but missed SOLAR.
btw what about TOG?This one was very quite but higher vol tdy since company reported good result, just blind guess TOG will fly high one day likewise L&E or ILINK in the past
ueda
pls adv on PSAP, SAT and SIS thx!
To your question - Why don't you nickname yourself?
PSAP: broke support at 1.05. In downtrend. Wait and see.
SAT: Moving in a horizontal channel. Set stop =9.30
SIS: In an uptrend. Keep moving up your LPP accordingly. Now it should be around 2.55.
CSC: if you have this stock, set your LPP to 13.5 or higher.
Warning: ITV gapped down today. If 1.0 breaks, exit no questions asked.
CPF: looks interesting. keep an eye on it.
QH: this stock is already up over 25% since our call on 7 Jan. 2007 ( zorro suggested stop at 0.95 ).
Move LPP to 1.25. Enjoy (;D
TMB: If you like, enter this stock with stop = 2.00 Good luck ;)
GOLD is moving nicely too! Looking for new target now 7++
ueda
Warning: ITV is breaking important support at 1.00. This could be a signal of further falling down but when winter comes, could spring far away? Cutlosss or reduce position considerably and buy back when its price is stable again. Maybe after you cutloss, the price will go up again. It does not matter because you loss is locked. If you do not cut loss, the loss could be bigger and bigger and you can only regret "If I cut loss when it broke 1, I would not have lost so much". This is a real case study of cutloss when loss is still small.
It's all up to yourself.
IHL: brokeout. If chase, stop=20. Good luck.
RICH: brokeout. If chase, stop=21 or higher. Good luck.
ueda, yes, GOLD is moving very well. Move LPP to 6.60. Congrats!
ESTAR: brokeout. If chase, stop= 0.40 Good luck.
MATI: brokeout. stop=9.50 If you try, use small position only because the playing field is too small.
RICH: We called this stock on 9 Feb. 2007. If you entered, now you are in profit of over 20% which is achieved within 10 trading days. Not bad! :D
I sold my position today with a 21% profit. Aha! This is one of the ways to turn SET into a ATM machine. Difficult?
IRP: looks rebouncing. If try your luck, set stop = 7.20 Good luck.
RICH: Move your LPP to 2.3 or higher. You shoud glue your eyes on this stock today. I advise you not to be so greedy. Anyway it's up to you.
KH: brokeout. Move LPP to around 8.6 or higher. Enjoy :D
sold GOLD tdy,just hit & run +20% then switch to AKR & TICON for safe play nextwk
ueda
Zinc prices are moving up again. Please comment about PDI technicals. They announced an amazing dividend of 5 baht.
Ken
ueda, if you play AKR, set stop = 2.30. Good luck.
Ken, PDI gapped up on 19 Feb.2007. Now its support is at 41. Technically it's now in an uptrend. Follow the trend. You can set 40.50 - 41 as a new stop area. Good luck.
PT: today it broke out again. You are advised to glue your eyes on the screen and move your LPP as high as possible, at least 3.30.
Srt4u Congrats on EPCO. Good 06 result, is it still cooking?
IRP looks to grow solidly in 07. Still cooking?
Liam
Liam, are you from HK or Sigapore?
EPCO is quietly climbing up from 0.48 to 0.60; up at more than 20%. Look at the chart and you can see there are many star-shaped candles. This means the punters are very careful. I think you can move your LPP to 0.50. If it can not stay above this support/res, reduce your position.
sorry typo. Sigapore = Singapore
Move LPP to 0.59.
ITV: now it's back above the support line 1.00. If you chase, set stop = 1.00 It seems that the punters playing some tricks.
anyone knows target price PE &PT???
both look unbeatable & keep rising everyday!!
pink
Hahh now you see not only SET was tumbled down, china and other emerging market weren't so easilly as many people thought!
I think SET wl be more stable this year don't u?
lian
Hahh now you see not only SET was tumbled down, china and other emerging market weren't so easilly as many people thought!
I think SET wl be more stable this year don't u?
lian
PT: wow! Another great runner. It's up 38% again since our second time call on 21 Feb. 2007. If you hold it from the first call, you are now in profit of 240%.
You see, even on Chinese New Year, the punters are still working hard to pull it high.
Now move LPP to 3.60 or higher. Enjoy our fans! :D
How many good calls have we made?!
If you can not make money on thai stock market by visiting this blog daily, we do not know what can help you make money on thai stock market.
Actually what you learned here can also apply to any other stock market.
scrt4u
I'm from Ireland not Singapore
Liam
Liam, your name looks like a Cantonese or Asian names. Hope you can benefit from this blog. To your success.
This thread is closed. Please move to threads no.3. Thanks.
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